CORE REGIME — US August CPI 19:30 WIB is the last input before the 15-16 Sep FOMC; Fed repriced to Hike 72.86% from 63.21%. Brent US$107.63 (+6.3%), 30-year yield 5.366%, highest since 2007. Mokha falls: a second chokepoint at Bab al-Mandeb. Whole G10 curve hawkish — RBNZ +32.29pp, BoC +21.00pp, RBA +19.33pp. AUD +3 strongest, NZD and CHF −3 weakest. Published pre-CPI.
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