Weekly report

Retail Is Trapped

Where the retail crowd is most one-sided this week, and the contrarian read.

Generated May 31, 2026

Retail is 87% long EURCHF

Euro / Swiss Franc · The contrarian read: Lean bearish

Most Trapped

Most Trapped

Instruments ranked by how lopsided the crowd is.

1

EURCHF

Euro / Swiss Franc

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 87%Short 13%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 74Conviction: High
2

GBPCHF

British Pound / Swiss Franc

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 86%Short 14%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 72Conviction: High
3

USDCHF

US Dollar / Swiss Franc

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 85%Short 15%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 70Conviction: High
4

ETHUSD

Ethereum / US Dollar

Crypto

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 76%Short 24%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 52Conviction: High
5

EURAUD

Euro / Australian Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 75%Short 25%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 50Conviction: High
6

NZDUSD

New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 26%Short 74%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 48Conviction: High
7

AUDUSD

Australian Dollar / US Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 27%Short 73%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 46Conviction: High
8

USDJPY

US Dollar / Japanese Yen

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 28%Short 72%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 44Conviction: High
9

NAS100

Nasdaq 100

Indices

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 28%Short 72%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 44Conviction: High
10

XAGUSD

Silver / US Dollar

Commodities

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 71%Short 29%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 42Conviction: High
11

XTIUSD

WTI Oil

Commodities

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 71%Short 29%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 42Conviction: High
12

EURJPY

Euro / Japanese Yen

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 30%Short 70%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 40Conviction: High
13

AUDJPY

Australian Dollar / Japanese Yen

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 31%Short 69%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 38Conviction: Medium
14

XAUUSD

Gold / US Dollar

Commodities

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 69%Short 31%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 38Conviction: Medium
15

USDCAD

US Dollar / Canadian Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 32%Short 68%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 36Conviction: Medium
16

SP500

S&P 500

Indices

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 32%Short 68%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 36Conviction: Medium
17

GER40

Germany 40 Index

Indices

Metavulus read

Lean bearish

Long 61%Short 39%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 22Conviction: Low
18

EURGBP

Euro / British Pound

Forex

Metavulus read

Lean bullish

Long 40%Short 60%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 20Conviction: Low
19

XBRUSD

Brent Oil

Commodities

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 59%Short 41%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 18Conviction: Low
20

EURUSD

Euro / US Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 44%Short 56%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 12Conviction: Low
21

GBPJPY

British Pound / Japanese Yen

Forex

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 44%Short 56%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 12Conviction: Low
22

GBPUSD

British Pound / US Dollar

Forex

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 45%Short 55%
Crowd is shortCrowd skew: 10Conviction: Low
23

BTCUSD

Bitcoin / US Dollar

Crypto

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 55%Short 45%
Crowd is longCrowd skew: 10Conviction: Low
24

US30

Dow Jones / US30

Indices

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 53%Short 47%
BalancedCrowd skew: 6Conviction: Low
25

USDX

US Dollar Index

Indices

Metavulus read

Balanced

Long 53%Short 47%
BalancedCrowd skew: 6Conviction: Low

By category

By category

Average crowd skew per asset class.

Forex

14 instruments

41

Avg skew

Crowd is balanced

Commodities

4 instruments

35

Avg skew

Crowd leans long

Crypto

2 instruments

31

Avg skew

Crowd leans long

Indices

5 instruments

23

Avg skew

Crowd leans short

How I'd think about it

How I'd think about it

An educational framing for this week's most crowded instrument. Not a signal, not a recommendation.

  1. What the crowd is doing

    EURCHF (Euro / Swiss Franc) — 87% long, an extreme one-sided crowd.

  2. Why crowded books matter

    When almost everyone sits on the same side, the people who would push price that way have largely already acted. That can leave the move tired and the crowd exposed if it turns.

  3. How a contrarian frames it

    Lean bearish patience for signs the crowd is being squeezed before leaning against their direction, never the headline number alone.

Risk note: Educational and market-preparation context only. This is not financial advice or a trade recommendation. Markets carry risk and past behavior does not guarantee future results.