Dominant Theme - Softer US PCE and lower GDP cooled yields and helped risk, while Fed officials stayed vigilant because annual inflation is still sticky. US-Iran 60-day ceasefire/MOU headlines lifted equities and capped oil, but Hormuz sovereignty, sanctions, and reported exchanges of fire keep the geopolitical risk premium alive. ES/NQ remain neutral-to-bullish on AI and record-high momentum, with PCE/yield and conflict headlines as the pressure valves.
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