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Daily Research
CORE REGIME — Oil supply shock and 5.01% US yields sustain defensive conditions. Fed Hike 95.36% (-2.14pp vs 15 Sep); ECB Hike 55.59% (-12.42pp). USD and AUD +2; CHF -3; NZD, ES and NQ -2. AUD strength is positioning-led and requires risk-on confirmation.
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