CORE REGIME — The dollar posted a fourth straight gain on a unanimous hawkish Fed chorus and higher oil: US 10-year 5.21%, DXY 101.26, WTI +2.38%. RBA hike odds for 29 September collapsed to 3.79% from 92.73% after unemployment rose to 4.6%, turning AUD into the weakest research call in G10 ex-CHF. BoE November hike odds jumped to 77.83%. CHF -3 and ES -2 carry the weakest combined scores; Bailey at 16:15 WIB and the UoM inflation-expectations revision at 21:00 WIB lead Friday's risk.
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