Dominant Theme — the Strait of Hormuz / energy shock remains the regime driver, but today is the policy + data climax: post‑Fed/BoC hawkish holds, the focus shifts to BoE + ECB decisions and the US macro batch (advance GDP, core PCE, ECI). The pivot is whether oil-led inflation fears keep yields pushing higher (USD bid, EUR vulnerable) or whether policy communication stabilizes risk (AUD/GBP outperform; JPY remains intervention‑sensitive).
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